Last week: 7-0
Yeah, yeah. For the second time this season, I totally nailed every game in a week. I’ll take my applause whenever you’re ready.
In all seriousness, we’ve already reached October and are more than halfway through the season. Time flies when you’re having fun!
We’re back to a full slate of region games this week, meaning we could get a much clearer postseason picture following Friday. Let’s see if we can peek into the crystal ball and get an idea of where we might stand.
Let’s do this.
Northwest Vikings (1-5, 0-2) at Northeast Eagles (1-5, 0-2)
Neither of these teams is having a good season. The difference is that we knew the Vikings would struggle to get wins, whereas the Eagles’ disastrous campaign is more of a surprise after they went to the 5A quarterfinals in 2020.
Northeast has lost each of their last five games with the latest being a 38-19 embarrassment at Clarksville. It’s one of three double-digit losses they’ve taken.
Fortunately, the Vikings should be the perfect team for them to finally get back in the win column against, whose only win this year came against a weak 2A squad.
Northwest can “win” by keeping this game competitive. If that happens or, by some miracle, they win the game, the Eagles are doomed.
Oh yeah, and the loser of this game gets eliminated from postseason contention pending the result of Portland vs. Kenwood.
Prediction: Northeast 36, Northwest 7
Rossview Hawks (2-4, 1-1) at Gallatin Green Wave (2-4, 1-1)
This might be our most evenly-matched game of the week.
The records line up, and so does the on-field production. Both teams are having down years, and both teams are likely out of the playoffs with a loss considering they both have matchups against Beech on the horizon. Each team has claimed their only region win over West Creek.
What’s certain is that this game is going to be low-scoring. What makes me want to lean toward the Hawks is that their defense has consistently been better this season, and a good defense typically beats a good offense -- something neither team really has.
The Green Wave will certainly benefit from having home field advantage, but will it be enough to put them over the edge?
This is going to be a good game.
Prediction: Rossview 21, Gallatin 17
Beech Buccaneers (3-2, 1-1) at West Creek Coyotes (1-5, 0-2)
This, on the other hand, is going to be a bloodbath.
Beech is a top-two team in Region 5-6A, whereas the Coyotes are the undisputed doormat of the group.
The Bucs are coming off a waxing at the hands of Summit, and I don’t think they’ll come to the field as anything but pissed off with an opportunity to crush the Coyotes.
This will get out of hand, and it’ll get out of hand quickly.
Prediction: Beech 49, West Creek 0
Clarksville Wildcats (4-2, 1-1) at Hendersonville Commandos (3-2, 2-0)
Beech is a top-two team in the region. The reason they’re not top-one is because the Commandos are there.
A legitimate state title contender (or at least semifinalist because, you know, Oakland), Hendersonville shouldn’t have too much trouble putting CHS away. That’s not a diss at the Wildcats, either; they’ve outplayed their expectations thus far considering they don’t have a quarterback. They’re just fighting a massive uphill battle on the road against this team.
If Isaac Shelby’s squad can keep this game respectable, it would be a big plus and give them all the momentum they need to potentially run the table in their final three games. Unfortunately, I don’t think James Counce’s team will let that happen.
Prediction: Hendersonville 49, Clarksville 7
Portland Panthers (3-3, 2-0) at Kenwood Knights (2-4, 0-2)
The Knights are coming off back-to-back weeks giving up 47 points, and they’ve scored just 14 in that same span.
Portland is coming off a win against Northeast followed by a tight loss to a good Macon County squad.
On paper, this game really shouldn’t be close. So why do I have this itch that it will be?
Kenwood’s last three losses have been against legitimate top-100 programs (Springfield, Shelbyville Central and Henry County) and in one of them, they didn’t have their starting quarterback, who’s been their offensive leader since 2019. This will also be their first home game in three weeks. The Panthers haven’t played anyone as good as those three teams, at least not yet.
This will also just be Portland’s third road game of the season. One was a win against lowly Northwest, and the other was a shootout loss to White House.
Kenwood’s got a legitimate shot at this game. Also, if they can win, they set themselves up to potentially seize a postseason spot and maybe even a top-three seed in the region.
I’m going to go out on a limb here. Kenwood is the underdog, but I believe in their ability. Don’t let me down here, Knights.
Prediction: Kenwood 35, Portland 31
Clarksville Academy (5-1, 0-1) at Donelson Christian Academy Wildcats (5-1, 1-0)
Clarksville Academy continued their feel-good rebound season on Friday with a win over yet another bad team. It’s fun to watch, but when they come up against teams like this, their record is more of a shackle than a boost.
With just one contest so far against top-level competition, the Cougars will unfortunately be overwhelmed by the sheer dominance of the Wildcats. Like the Nashville Christian game a few weeks ago, they’re not expected to win this at all, so don’t be too upset if (or when) they do. The ticket will be making it a competitive game and coming out with positives to build off of.
Prediction: DCA 47, Clarksville Academy 14
Greenbrier Bobcats (2-3, 2-1) at Montgomery Central Indians (6-0, 4-0)
This is a big game for Montgomery Central. With a win, they’d move to 5-0 in their region, effectively meaning they wouldn’t be able to be surpassed by Glencliff, Creek Wood, Hillwood, Lawrence County or Greenbrier.
For those of you keeping track at home, that means it would clinch them a spot in the postseason despite being in one of the most ruthless regions in 4A.
Overall, I don’t think Greenbrier is going to give them much resistance. They’re a very middle of the road team who has beaten teams they’re supposed to, like Glencliff and Hillwood, and lost to teams they’re supposed to, like Lawrence County.
What’s more, they haven’t have a game be decided by fewer than 14 points all season, meaning it’s all been crush-or-be-crushed. They’ve also scored a combined six points in their three losses.
Considering the Indians have been one of the hottest teams in Tennessee this year and allowed just 19 points all year, I’m thinking this one will fall into the “be crushed” category.
Prediction: Montgomery Central 35, Greenbrier 0