pick em

Record: 40-13

Last week: 6-1

At last, we’ve made it to the postseason.

Unfortunately we’ve only got two teams left after Montgomery Central and Rossview were left out on the last night of the season.

Regardless, here we are: Clarksville and Kenwood. They are the last hope for 931 football glory in 2019.

Both teams will head to Memphis as the No. 3 and No. 4 seeds in Region 7-5A, facing off with the No. 3 and No. 1 seeds in Region 8-5A.

Clarksville at Munford (Friday at 7 p.m.)

Let’s take a moment to look at each team before getting into the prediction and analysis.

The Munford Cougars, who also met up with the Wildcats in this year’s volleyball and girls’ soccer regional, are 7-3 overall and 5-1 in their region. They do not have any bad losses, as the three teams they lost to were top-level foes Covington, Southwind (more on them later) and Evangelical Christian.

They’ve also beaten some solid teams, including Kirby and Ridgeway.

That said, they have had some seriously close calls. They only beat Brighton (3-7) by just three points, after all.

Then we have the Wildcats at 6-4 and 4-2. All four of their losses have come to quality teams: Springfield, Stewarts Creek, Henry County and Dyer County. They beat rival Rossview along with every other team in the city, and none of them were one-score games, compared to three of their four losses being by eight points or less.

Basically, they’ve beaten up on teams they’re better than and kept it close with those better than them.

This could be the fact that makes picking the Wildcats a realistic decision. They have won their last four games with two of them being by 42 points or more (granted none of them were against very good teams) giving them plenty of confidence heading into Memphis.

Munford is clearly a good football team with plenty of experience against other good football teams. This has potential to be one of the best first-round games of the week. And I think Clarksville can come out with a win. 

Prediction: Clarksville 24, Munford 21

Kenwood at Southwind (Friday at 7 p.m.)

I’m sorry it has to be this way, Knights. But at least you made it this far, right?

It’s impossible to go through this part without stating some painful facts. Prepare for it.

The term “backing into the playoffs” is pretty cliché by now, but my goodness; Kenwood backed WAY into the playoffs. They are 2-8 (2-4 Region 7-5A) and have not won a game since Sept. 20, when they improved to 2-3 with a win over Northwest.

Four of their next five games came against playoff teams, in all fairness, but they lost all five, with three of them being by 50 points or more. Another was a seven-point loss to West Creek.

Basically, they got their postseason bid with two wins and despite not winning a game since September, they were the best of the worst in an otherwise talented region (at least at the top).

Okay, there’s that. Now let’s look at Southwind.

The Jaguars are 6-4, but 5-1 in their region. Their four losses have been by an average of 5.5 points, while their six losses have been by an average of 31 points. This shows that when they win, they win BIG and when they lose, it usually comes down to a play or two.

This has essentially been a long-winded way to say that Southwind should have little problem moving on to the next round to face the winner of Dyer County and Kirby.

Prediction: Southwind 52, Kenwood 7

 

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